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Gold steadies on prospect of imminent US rate rises

Reuters/New York/London 14 Mar 17 | 02:40 AM

Gold prices were little changed on Monday as the prospect of imminent interest rate rises kept them near the five-week lows touched last week, while elections in Europe created uncertainty and fuelled investor buying.

Spot gold was down 0.01 per cent at $1,204.30 an ounce by 3:08 p.m. EST (19:08 GMT). That compares with $1,194.55 last Friday, its lowest level since January 31. US gold futures settled up 0.1 per cent at $1,203.10.

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Investors are focussing on Wednesday's Dutch elections. The chance of a eurosceptic party coming to power in the Netherlands is seen as small but a strong election performance could fuel speculation of a surprise result in French presidential elections in April and May. 

Wednesday is also the second day of the US Federal Reserve's two-day meeting. The widely expected decision to raise rates could boost the US currency, which when it rises makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for non-US firms. 

"A rate rise from the Fed is pretty much priced in, we're probably going to see two more hikes this year," said Oxford Economics analyst Daniel Smith. "A period of higher rates will tend to mean pressure on gold prices."

The statement from the Fed, due to be released Wednesday at 2 pm (18:00 GMT) followed by a briefing at 18:30 GMT, will be scrutinized for any changes in thinking among policymakers.

"Now, the debate shifts to Fed dots," said Wayne Gordon, analyst for UBS Wealth Management, retaining a long view and target price for gold at $1,300 per ounce.

"Some see the dots rising, and this week's quarterly Fed projections show a median of four. But we believe this year's dots will remain unchanged at three," he said, referring to the Fed policy-makers' forecasts that will be issued on Wednesday.

Traders said gold would have to close above $1,209, the 55-day moving average, to make further headway on the upside. Downside support remains at the psychological level of $1,200 an ounce.

Recent selling by investors can be seen in the holdings of SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, which fell 1.06 per cent to 825.22 tonnes on Friday. 

Hedge funds and money managers also slashed their net long positions in COMEX gold from the highest in three months in the week to March 7, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.

Silver slid 0.6 per cent to $16.92 an ounce, platinum lost 0.5 per cent to $937.25 an ounce and palladium rose 0.95 per cent to $750.75 an ounce.

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